Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 21.923476 25.245057 28.823295 32.955269 37.585400 42.603880 48.444736
2025-10-12 17.126618 21.951464 27.623987 34.737904 43.369289 53.448345 66.049547
2025-10-19 13.693937 19.126959 25.971564 35.119806 46.904739 61.442703 80.582462
2025-10-26 11.289493 16.975323 24.570441 35.273482 49.751680 68.415340 94.009617
2025-11-02 9.328492 15.005942 23.002629 34.814919 51.492077 73.822429 105.528288
2025-11-09 7.772344 13.319823 21.527466 34.184732 52.757389 78.480460 116.138341
2025-11-16 6.508068 11.850410 20.132004 33.427810 53.644049 82.519915 125.978095
2025-11-23 5.365197 10.379495 18.519624 32.111750 53.499452 84.959618 133.559860
2025-11-30 4.892463 9.952338 18.483701 33.190279 56.977145 92.793252 149.273859
2025-12-07 4.490406 9.583079 18.483480 34.291152 60.520262 100.872186 165.715373
2025-12-14 3.864187 8.700702 17.496392 33.637871 61.173980 104.529496 175.617666
2025-12-21 3.300759 7.845873 16.447590 32.753230 61.336255 107.365698 184.322082
2025-12-28 3.165198 7.866487 17.057585 34.942418 66.983363 119.513099 208.697838
2026-01-04 2.976751 7.755798 17.423492 36.755438 72.176257 131.323593 233.332025
2026-01-11 2.653983 7.293886 17.046230 37.145977 74.895456 139.208571 252.032850
2026-01-18 2.351904 6.821087 16.580658 37.305499 77.183383 146.461382 270.015592
2026-01-25 2.036198 6.251843 15.834341 36.824057 78.230350 151.611082 284.690831
2026-02-01 1.751451 5.699846 15.046019 36.162708 78.860382 156.027152 298.282314
2026-02-08 1.498134 5.174277 14.240021 35.368295 79.147555 159.809999 310.910654
2026-02-15 1.246260 4.592162 13.215470 33.986768 78.150816 161.181399 319.332664
2026-02-22 1.165614 4.493392 13.335219 35.118975 82.253414 172.082921 345.109222
2026-03-01 1.092583 4.402709 13.462292 36.274378 86.469898 183.384972 372.056780
2026-03-08 0.942257 4.029233 12.817143 35.588769 86.806520 187.379105 385.885184